US recession by end of 2026?

# [33%]{.highlight-orange} chance [Market activity: $733.0K]{.text-slate}

Iranian regime falling before 2027?

# [38%]{.highlight-orange} chance [Market activity: $11.3M]{.text-slate}

Chinese AI model becoming #1 by June 30?

# [19%]{.highlight-red} chance [Market activity: $67.6K]{.text-slate}

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

# [2%]{.highlight-red} chance [Market activity: $27.4M]{.text-slate}

Crude oil hitting $100 by end of March?

# [88%]{.highlight-green} chance [Market activity: $9.4M]{.text-slate}

AI bubble burst by end of 2026?

# [18%]{.highlight-red} chance [Market activity: $1.8M]{.text-slate}

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

# [9%]{.highlight-red} chance [Market activity: $7.4M]{.text-slate}

Democrats win the 2028 presidential election?

# [56%]{.highlight-slate} chance [Market activity: $641.9K]{.text-slate}

US invading a Latin American country in 2026?

# [22%]{.highlight-orange} chance [Market activity: $178.3K]{.text-slate}

Another crypto hack over $100M in 2026?

# [87%]{.highlight-green} chance [Market activity: $118.1K]{.text-slate}

SpaceX being the largest IPO of 2026?

# [86%]{.highlight-green} chance [Market activity: $161.1K]{.text-slate}

China invading Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

# [2%]{.highlight-red} chance [Market activity: $8.8M]{.text-slate}

Fed hiking rates at all in 2026?

# [15%]{.highlight-red} chance [Market activity: $310.6K]{.text-slate}

AI-generated song reaching Billboard #1 by June 30?

# [65%]{.highlight-sky} chance [Market activity: $2.8K]{.text-slate}

Netanyahu out of power by end of 2026?

# [43%]{.highlight-slate} chance [Market activity: $286.9K]{.text-slate}