Regime collapse timelines, military ops, and oil chokepoint risk. Live from Polymarket.
**3.6%** $34M volume
**16%** $6M volume
**29%** $17M volume
**38%** $10M volume
**63%** $24M volume
**71% by some deadline** $29M volume
**88%** $32M volume
**38%** $339K volume
**81%** $3M volume
No longer Iranian control: **14%** $712K volume
**63%** $4M volume
**43%** $17M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
3.6%
$34M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
16%
$6M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
29%
$17M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
38%
$10M volume
Will US forces enter Iran by end of 2026?
63%
$24M volume
71% by some deadline
$29M volume
Will crude oil hit $100 by end of March?
88%
$32M volume
Will Strait of Hormuz shipping return to normal by end of April?
38%
$339K volume
Will Trump announce end of military operations against Iran by June 30?
81%
$3M volume
Is Kharg Island still under Iranian control by March 31?
No longer Iranian control: 14%
$712K volume
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
63%
$4M volume
Will Netanyahu be out of power by end of 2026?
43%
$17M volume