Iran Conflict & Hormuz Risk

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

3.6%
$34M volume

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

16%
$6M volume

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

29%
$17M volume

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

38%
$10M volume

Will US forces enter Iran by end of 2026?

63%
$24M volume

71% by some deadline
$29M volume

Will crude oil hit $100 by end of March?

88%
$32M volume

Will Strait of Hormuz shipping return to normal by end of April?

38%
$339K volume

Will Trump announce end of military operations against Iran by June 30?

81%
$3M volume

Is Kharg Island still under Iranian control by March 31?

No longer Iranian control: 14%
$712K volume

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

63%
$4M volume

Will Netanyahu be out of power by end of 2026?

43%
$17M volume